Louisville
W-L: ( 8- 6) PR = 81.5610Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 H Ea Kentucky 51-17 905 H J Madison SUN (12- 2, 84.2) 28-14 920 H Bowl. Green MIDA ( 4- 8, 64.0) 40-17 927 A Pittsburgh ACC ( 8- 5, 82.9) 34-27 1004 H Virginia ACC (11- 3, 84.5) 27-34 1011 A J Madison SUN (12- 2, 84.2) 14-24 1017 A Miami ACC (12- 3, 92.2) 24-21 1101 A Va Tech ACC ( 2-10, 71.0) 28-16 1108 H California ACC ( 7- 6, 74.6) 26-29 1114 H Clemson ACC ( 7- 6, 79.3) 19-20 1122 A SMU ACC ( 8- 4, 83.7) 6-38 1129 H Kentucky SEC ( 5- 7, 78.7) 41- 0 1217 N Delaware ( 7- 6, 70.5) 13-20 1223 N Toledo MIDA ( 8- 5, 80.0) 27-22
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
905 H J Madison 28-14 14 3 +++ 11.34
920 H Bowl. Green 40-17 23 23 0.00
927 A Pittsburgh 34-27 7 -7 +++ 13.60
1004 H Virginia 27-34 -7 2 --- -9.28
1011 A J Madison 14-24 -10 -8 - -2.14
1017 A Miami 24-21 3 -16 +++ 17.00
1101 A Va Tech 28-16 12 5 +++ 6.70
1108 H California 26-29 -3 12 --- -15.19
1114 H Clemson 19-20 -1 8 --- -8.51
1122 A SMU 6-38 -32 -7 --- -6.62
1129 H Kentucky 41- 0 41 8 ++ 5.89
1217 N Delaware 13-20 -7 11 --- -18.08
1223 N Toledo 27-22 5 2 + 3.40
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1004 H Virginia 27-34 -7 2 --- -9.28 1108 H California 26-29 -3 12 --- -15.19 1114 H Clemson 19-20 -1 8 --- -8.51 1122 A SMU 6-38 -32 -7 --- -6.62 1217 N Delaware 13-20 -7 11 --- -18.08 1011 A J Madison 14-24 -10 -8 - -2.14 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 905 H J Madison 28-14 14 3 +++ 11.34 927 A Pittsburgh 34-27 7 -7 +++ 13.60 1017 A Miami 24-21 3 -16 +++ 17.00 1101 A Va Tech 28-16 12 5 +++ 6.70 1129 H Kentucky 41- 0 41 8 ++ 5.89 1223 N Toledo 27-22 5 2 + 3.40 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H J Madison (12- 2, 84.2) 28-14 -15.74 35.48 -5.26 0.98 59.28
0 H Bowl. Green ( 4- 8, 64.0) 40-17 -35.94 15.28 -5.26 0.98 19.66
0 A Pittsburgh ( 8- 5, 82.9) 34-27 -16.99 34.23 5.26 0.98 77.45
0 H Virginia (11- 3, 84.5) 27-34 -15.36 35.86 -5.26 0.98 -10.11
0 A J Madison (12- 2, 84.2) 14-24 -15.74 35.48 5.26 0.98 -5.14
0 A Miami (12- 3, 92.2) 24-21 -7.71 43.51 5.26 0.98 95.67
0 A Va Tech ( 2-10, 71.0) 28-16 -28.90 22.32 5.26 0.98 54.09
0 H California ( 7- 6, 74.6) 26-29 -25.27 25.95 -5.26 0.98 -14.97
0 H Clemson ( 7- 6, 79.3) 19-20 -20.59 30.63 -5.26 0.98 -12.68
0 A SMU ( 8- 4, 83.7) 6-38 -16.22 35.00 5.26 0.98 -5.38
0 H Kentucky ( 5- 7, 78.7) 41- 0 -21.19 30.03 -5.26 0.98 48.60
0 N Delaware ( 7- 6, 70.5) 13-20 -29.42 21.80 -0.00 0.98 -14.43
0 N Toledo ( 8- 5, 80.0) 27-22 -19.94 31.28 -0.00 0.98 61.37
------
353.40
|
winning pts = 416.1055 losing points = -62.7021
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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